Is China Really Moving Towards Democracy?

[2008-12-23 17:00:50]

China is a preferred trading partner with the United States and for good reason. China, with her 1.3 billion people will someday be a major superpower in the world. Like India with 1 billion people, both nations have a bright future in front of them and a daunting challenge ahead.

China, of course is a communist nation, red China, although, it is borrowing from the efficiencies of capitalism and generating significant revenue from the rest of the world due to the economies of scale and their ability to produce with cheap labor. China also has some extremely tough hurdles ahead.

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China has not gone through its industrial revolution or dealt with unionized labor yet, but it will. All nations go through this, and not all survive. Its current growth rate of 10% year-over-year is not sustainable forever, but as long as she keeps growing, everything seems to be okay and it can run away from many of its problems simply due to its own inertia and hyperbolic curve.

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Unfortunately, the world can only buy so much of its products. The consumers of the United States, Australia, and the European Union can only sustain a trade deficit of so much until their economies cannot take anymore. Then where will China get its money to build its great nation.

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Some economists speculate that eventually it will be able to buy from itself as its middle class emerges, but let's not forget it is a communist nation and its middle class does not yet exist for the most part or as a percentage of its population currently. Further, when its workforce starts making more money it will not be able to produce low-cost goods for the rest of the world.

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China will then have to compete for products and services; thus, it will be buying from the rest of the world and other nations with low-cost labor will emerge to replace its position, African Nations for instance still, have 100s of millions of people making less than a dollar a day. But can a communist nation make the transition and will those who lead the nation choose to make the transition?

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One has to ask; why should they? Why should the ruling elite in China choose to turn over their control? Please consider the philosophical nature of this discussion and take it where you will. My point is only to make you think, nothing else is implied here.

Lance Winslow - Lance Winslow's Bio . If you have innovative thoughts and unique perspectives, come think with Lance; http://www.WorldThinkTank.net/ .

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